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The Lefsetz Letter

LimeWire Licensed

by Bob Lefsetz

"Oh baby don't it feel like heaven right now Don't it feel like something from a dream"

"The Waiting" Tom Petty & the Heartbreakers

Yes, the waiting IS the hardest part. But FINALLY, after FIVE YEARS, the music business has moved into the FUTURE!

Credit Jimmy Iovine. Co-producer, with Tom Petty, of the above track.

Yes, everybody kept looking to Andy Lack. To Mitch Bainwol. Somebody PONTIFICATING on file-trading to lead.

But that's not Jimmy's style. If you know Jimmy, he specializes in working in the background, getting things done.

And just like he engineered the 9/11 TV show, Jimmy has worked FURIOUSLY in the past forty eight hours to broker a SOLUTION to this civil war in the music world, a war within which FAMILIES took different sides.

And that's how it happened.

Everybody knows record execs are tech ignorant. Hell, to know anything about tech, you've got to USE your computer, you've got to be online EIGHT HOURS A DAY! The only people who really know what's going on are KIDS!

And Jimmy's kids finally got to him.

Oh YES, Jimmy could give them free CDs, but he couldn't deliver live tracks, couldn't deliver unreleased tracks, couldn't deliver what they WANTED! And specializing in being in the right place at the right time, Jimmy realized now was the time to move. Now was the time to broker a truce.

Egged on, of course, by the Grokster Supreme Court hearing.

Oh, there was a DEVASTATING conference call subsequent to Tuesday morning's court session. Thomas H. Lee HIMSELF got on the line and asked HOW DID YOU GUYS FUCK THIS UP SO BAD??? I'm about to take this company public, and all you're doing is insuring that everybody HATES US! Refusing revenue, don't any of you guys have MBAs? Can't we license SOMEBODY??

Andy Lack about blew a gasket. He went on about the DualDisc. How if they only gave it a little more time, got Matt Lauer to demonstrate it on the "Today Show", people would reject the free product, hell, over time they'd be able to RAISE the discs' price!

Clive Davis seconded this notion. After all, he was famously quoted in the "People" Grammy Daily as not having an iPod, and only listening to CDs!

Zach Horowitz was flummoxed. This was HIS strategy, holding out forever, beating the bad guys in court. But now, with the Supreme Court Justices suddenly so HIP as to technology, could they REALLY pull the wool over their eyes?

Mitch Bainwol, of course, said nothing. He's the mouthpiece, but he's got no power.

As for Alain Levy, he was not on the call. Having to fly commercial instead of private, he couldn't get a signal on the plane as he crossed the Atlantic from New York to Paris. Rumor has it that Zach said EMI didn't count anyway, but no one will confirm he actually uttered these words.

Overwrought, feeling like Nixon talking to the paintings in the White House, Zach strode down the hall into Jimmy Iovine's office and spilled his guts.

Jimmy commiserated.

But as soon as Zach left the room, Jimmy started dialing, doing what he does best, using TWENTIETH CENTURY technology to its best.

Actually, he couldn't get Mark Gorton, LimeWire's chief, on the phone. Jimmy's assistant had to e-mail him. Picking up Jimmy's missive on his BlackBerry at a yoga retreat north of San Francisco, Mark answered that he would do what Jimmy asked. Which was to find a landline, cells being too insecure, and to STAY THERE, REACHABLE!

And then, in one of the great strategic moves of ALL TIME, Jimmy proceeded to reach one level DOWN the food chain. To those who've seen their compensation hammered while their bosses have raped and pillaged.

Yes, first Jimmy called his old protege, Tom Whalley. Who had to sign a new deal for bupkes.

And then Andy Slater, the only bright spot in the EMI empire, whose deal is almost up, and is being forced to re-up at CENTS on the dollar.

And then Jason Flom. Reached on the golf course, Jason said he was in. That he felt manipulated by Lyor, That it was an insult that HE brought in all the hits, but Lyor made all the money.

And then Barry Weiss. And Steve Greenberg.

He knew Monty was in. And, of course, Jordan Schur, who he put in power.

And a plan was hatched. The new guard, those who'd been held back too long, those who really did the work, were going to REVOLT! Unless LimeWire was licensed, they were all going to go on STRIKE! Stop working COMPLETELY!

But Jimmy, so savvy, realized that he needed more ammo. So, he got Don Henley on the phone. It took HOURS of negotiation, and the promise of an eight dollar royalty on the new Eagles CD (their audience doesn't know from MP3s), and finally Don agreed. He'd deliver the Recording Artists Coalition, they were IN!

And then, like the "Godfather", it was a fait accompli. It was done. Jimmy summoned Zach to HIS office and told him what he'd put together. Feeling stabbed in the back, Zach started swearing a blue streak, but then, when Jimmy promised him he'd still have a job, UNDER HIM, Zach agreed to play ball. Agreed to call Andy Lack, Alain Levy and Thomas H. Lee and tell them that it was OVER! Universal was going to license LimeWire, and they had no choice, because in addition to Universal having a 40+% market share, the other companies' employees were with THEM!

God, only Jimmy can do this. Realize that the true music execs only respect someone who's been in the studio, who's made records, who always WINS!

Thomas H. Lee was EXUBERANT!

Alain Levy was so pissed, he started speaking French.

Andy Lack, for the first time ever, was SPEECHLESS!

But, in the end, even Andy caved. Rumor has it that Suge's name was mentioned, but I can't confirm this.

And then, Jimmy called Gorton. And told him it was a done deal.

And what's the deal?

You can buy a LimeWire trading license for five bucks a month. Take all you want, GO FOR IT! But, if you DON'T buy a license, Mitch Bainwol's gonna SUE YOUR ASS!

Oh, Andy Lack protested this wasn't going to work, but Jimmy pointed out how it works with CARS! You can drive without a license, but do you WANT TO? Sure, there are people driving uninsured, but most people purchase car insurance, since states REQUIRE IT, and the penalties for not complying are so SEVERE!

Yes, as of Sunday night at 2 a.m., coinciding with the advent of Daylight Savings Time, you can buy a LimeWire trading license online. Right on the P2P company's site. At first Jimmy wanted the licenses sold through U2's Website, always eager to self-deal, juicing the Irish band's visibility, but everybody else railed about the ticket pre-sale debacle, and he backed down.

What about APPLE?? Didn't Jimmy call STEVE JOBS?

No. Jimmy convinced everybody to leave Steve out, he already had TOO MUCH POWER! It was time to take the power BACK!

What about Napster To GO??

Hell, the iTunes Music Store and Napster To Go can still exist, but Jimmy preached REALITY! That these two entities were SIDESHOWS! DWARFED by P2P!

But why LimeWire?

Because it's now the P2P app of choice. Visitors increased 1876% in the last year. While KaZaA's DROPPED 71%. (http://www.slyck.com/news.php?story=729) AND, NO ONE wanted to reward the pricks at KaZaA and Grokster who'd been such thorns in their side.

So, here's the deal.

LimeWire skims a 10% fee, for administration (and profit!) The remaining 90% goes to the label. Which then splits the money, after publishing, with the act 50/50. God, give Don Henley credit, he not only saved Thoreau's Walden Woods, he saved Sheryl Crow, Marilyn Manson, My Chemical Romance, all the MODERN artists!

Yup, every trade will be tracked. Monies will be divvied up. And then ultimately split, as per above.

But, but, BUT you say. What's to prevent the advent of new, FREE sites!

God, Rome wasn't built in a day.

Jimmy's also been talking to Susan Deutsch. Of Verizon. She offered YEARS ago to pay a trading fee for every Verizon DSL subscriber. Hilary Rosen called this, famously, "disingenuous". But, just like the labels are now in bed with Shawn Fanning (who's left out in the cold, broke once AGAIN), they've done a 180 here. They're now going to accept this fee. But, Verizon couldn't close this fast, being in the midst of trying to acquire MCI.

And, in addition, the LimeWire license is only for a YEAR! The plan is to get all the ISPs to kick in two or three bucks per subscriber, and then ELIMINATE the trading license concept COMPLETELY! But Jimmy thought it imperative to make a deal NOW! To try and regain some of the industry's good will. To try to stave off the results of a bad Supreme Court decision.

Utterly amazing. The man who conspired with Carly Fiorina, who helped broker the U2 iPod deal, who even tried with the FARM CLUB, has shown that he really DOES get it, and has DELIVER

Bob Lefsetz, Santa Monica-based industry legend, is the author of the e-mail newsletter, "The Lefsetz Letter". Famous for being beholden to no one, and speaking the truth, Lefsetz addresses the issues that are at the core of the music business: downloading, copy protection, pricing and the music itself. His intense brilliance captivates readers from Steven Tyler to Rick Nielsen to Bryan Adams to Quincy Jones to EVERYBODY who's in the music business. Never boring, always entertaining, Mr. Lefsetz's insights are fueled by his stint as an entertainment business attorney, majordomo of Sanctuary Music's American division and consultancies to major labels.

While Rhino may occasionally disagree with some of Bob's opinions, we certainly agree with his right to state them. At the bottom of each column we give you, the reader, the opportunity to respond and we encourage you to do so. We will post select comments.


LET US KNOW WHAT YOU THINK.

A word about submissions: We post what you give us, so please don't include your email address or any personal info. Your comments reach Rhino, not necessarily the writer, so don't expect a reply from them (or us, see our help section for contact info). We gather and post your submissions in batches, so do expect a short delay. And don't get bent if we edit your comments. We probably won't, but we reserve that right.


Comments:

Awesome, I am more than happy to pay the five dollar fee. This whole thing remind's me of the movie industry/Sony Betamax fiasco. People are so short sighted and greedy, look at all the movie rental place's today. Ultimately if you like something your going to purchase a quality copy of it anyway.

I'm game ;-)

Yes, wonderful, I can stop feeling like a traitor to my friends in the music biz.

Bob,
You are a true genius, making the world a better place, fighting the good fight!!

Keep it up - we need you

April Fools Joke???




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